DrawIncorrectEV+0.240Odds3.35

Lorient's Remarkable Run: Can It Survive Toulouse Away?

Three of the last five H2H meetings ended in draws. Lorient have drawn three straight away games. Toulouse's home H2H unbeaten record and Lorient's lack of an away win here since 2015 both point to a score draw at 3.35 as the most value-loaded outcome.

News & Trends

Toulouse vs Lorient — Ligue 1 Matchday 27 midtable clash previewNeutral

Yann Gboho confirmed absent for Toulouse — top scorer miss for hostsNegative

Lorient without Pablo Pagis and Bamo Meite through suspensionNegative

Toulouse edge dramatic 4-3 win at Metz to end six-game winless runPositive

Lorient beat Lens 2-1 at home to extend unbeaten run to five league gamesPositive

Toulouse confirm six absentees including Casseres, Cresswell and MagriNegative

Lorient only one defeat in last 15 Ligue 1 matches — remarkable consistencyPositive

Yann Gboho: 11 goals make him Toulouse's top scorer and focal pointPositive

Ahmadou Bamba Dieng leads Lorient with 12 goals in all competitions in 2025-26Positive

Toulouse record 100% win rate in Ligue 1 when scoring multiple goals this seasonPositive

Lorient lose Isaak Toure and Laurent Abergel to injury — defensive depth hitNegative

Toulouse without a home win in their last three Stadium de Toulouse fixturesNegative

Aron Donnum shining for Toulouse with league-best rating of 7.41 among their squadPositive

Lorient draw three consecutive away games — road form a concern going into the run-inNegative

Gboho scores brace against Metz to confirm form ahead of Toulouse's big run-inPositive

Ligue 1 standings: Lorient 9th, Toulouse 11th — three points separating the pairNeutral

Donnum's 7.41 Ligue 1 rating confirms him as Toulouse's best performer this seasonPositive

Makengo scores twice in last five away Ligue 1 appearances — threat on the roadPositive

Lorient manager Pantaloni praised for tactical adaptability in building unbeaten runPositive

H2H: Toulouse unbeaten in last 5 meetings with Lorient — but Lorient hold away recordNeutral

Lorient have not won an away Ligue 1 match at Toulouse since 2015 — notable statNeutral

Key Players

Home

Away

Strength Comparison

Key Factors

150%

Only 1 defeat in their last 15 Ligue 1 matches is a remarkable record. Lorient have been winning close matches and grinding out results — a pattern that does not simply vanish in an away game.

250%

Toulouse have not won at Stadium de Toulouse in their last three home league matches, which undermines their usual home advantage and creates an opening for Lorient to take points.

350%

Losing Yann Gboho (11 goals, most in the squad) is a significant blow. Toulouse's attack becomes more predictable without him and their ability to score the two-plus goals they need for a guaranteed win diminishes.

450%

Both teams found the net in all four of their last H2H meetings. Given that both attacks have similar season totals and defences are stretched by absences, both teams scoring again appears likely.

H2H Insight

Relevance: 50

0 meetings0W0D0LAvg Goals: 0.0

Value Bet

Market	Odds	Implied	Predicted	Edge

Risk Assessment

Medium

Trap Game Score50