Lorient's Remarkable Run: Can It Survive Toulouse Away?
Three of the last five H2H meetings ended in draws. Lorient have drawn three straight away games. Toulouse's home H2H unbeaten record and Lorient's lack of an away win here since 2015 both point to a score draw at 3.35 as the most value-loaded outcome.
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Only 1 defeat in their last 15 Ligue 1 matches is a remarkable record. Lorient have been winning close matches and grinding out results — a pattern that does not simply vanish in an away game.
Toulouse have not won at Stadium de Toulouse in their last three home league matches, which undermines their usual home advantage and creates an opening for Lorient to take points.
Losing Yann Gboho (11 goals, most in the squad) is a significant blow. Toulouse's attack becomes more predictable without him and their ability to score the two-plus goals they need for a guaranteed win diminishes.
Both teams found the net in all four of their last H2H meetings. Given that both attacks have similar season totals and defences are stretched by absences, both teams scoring again appears likely.
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Relevance: 50Value Bet
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