Home WinIncorrectEV+0.232Odds2.20

Velez's Unbeaten Run Continues Against Lanus

Velez Sarsfield lead the 2026 Liga Profesional Apertura with six wins and four draws from ten games (22 points), conceding just five goals all season. Their home H2H record against Lanus at Amalfitani is three wins and one draw from the last four meetings including a 3-0 rout in August 2025. Lanus arrive having thrashed Newells 5-0 but their away form across recent seasons is significantly weaker than their home performances, with only four wins from 15 road trips. Aquino's five goals and hat-trick form is the primary risk to Velez's defence but Mammana has been exceptional all season. At 2.20 odds with a 56% projected probability, the expected value is 23.2%.

News & Trends

Velez vs Lanus: league leaders host mid-table Lanus at AmalfitaniNeutral

Velez unbeaten in all 10 Liga Profesional games, runaway league leadersPositive

Lanus thrash Newells Old Boys 5-0 at home to boost confidencePositive

Velez beat Platense 2-0 away with Monzon and Robertone on the scoresheetPositive

Velez's home H2H record against Lanus: won 3, drew 1 from last four at AmalfitaniPositive

Lanus striker Dylan Aquino on fire with hat-trick and five goals in ten gamesPositive

Velez's Florian Monzon scores in back-to-back games, in hot formPositive

Velez score 12, concede only 5 - La Profesional's best attacking and defensive recordPositive

Lanus's Marcelino Moreno second top scorer with three goalsPositive

Lucas Robertone adds another goal for Velez's midfield firepowerPositive

Lanus away form: only 4 wins from last 15 road games across recent seasonsNegative

Velez concede most goals in minutes 76-90 in home games, late vulnerability notedNeutral

Velez beat Lanus 3-0 at home in August 2025 in last meeting at this groundPositive

Lanus's Ramiro Carrera and Rodrigo Castillo lead team in assistsPositive

Velez defender Emanuel Mammana central to their defensive organizationPositive

Lanus dominant at home (25 goals, 10 conceded) but weak away from GranateNeutral

Velez scored in nine of ten Liga Profesional games this seasonPositive

Manuel Lanzini orchestrates Velez's creative midfield playPositive

Lanus's Walter Bou adds depth to strike partnership with AquinoPositive

Velez topping Apertura tabla, season's form unmistakably the best in ArgentinaPositive

Key Players

Home

Away

Strength Comparison

Key Factors

150%

Zero defeats in ten Liga Profesional games. The most consistent team in Argentine football right now.

250%

Won three and drawn one of the last four meetings at Amalfitani including a 3-0 August 2025 rout.

350%

Only four wins from 15 recent away matches across competitions. Road trips expose Lanus's limitations.

450%

Five goals and a hat-trick recently make him a genuine wildcard. Even Velez's defence must respect this.

550%

12 goals scored, only 5 conceded. Dominant in both boxes and significantly superior to Lanus in quality.

650%

Near-certain to score against Lanus's defence that conceded 12 in ten away matches.

H2H Insight

Relevance: 50

4 meetings3W1D0LAvg Goals: 0.0

Value Bet

Market	Odds	Implied	Predicted	Edge

Risk Assessment

Medium

Trap Game Score50